Germany vs Spain: AI predicts penalty shootout
Predictions from all major AI models point to an extremely close match that will not find a winner in the usual 90 minutes. According to models from OpenAI, Microsoft and co., the probability that the decision will be made only in extra time or even in a penalty shootout is very high.
These predictions are based on a variety of data, including past team performance, tactical analysis and individual player statistics. Different sequences of play are simulated and extra time and penalty shoot-outs are evaluated as possible scenarios.
Nadine Noppinger has been working at BurdaForward as a content and project manager since 2018 and has specialised in the implementation of AI in the company. Her innovative spirit and willingness to experiment with various AI models have made her a specialist in this field. Noppinger's work is characterised by a future-oriented perspective that redefines both the technological boundaries and the possibilities of AI in digital publishing.
The coaches' tactics will make the difference
Of course, AI can't predict in advance what tactics coaches will choose. But based on their games so far, Germany could focus on compact defending and quick transition play, while Spain will likely rely on ball possession and patient play. Coaches' decisions and the form of the players on the day could ultimately make the difference.
All models show a clear trend in favour of Germany
That's why almost all AI models are hesitant when asked specifically about the winner, especially since the previous matches against Spain had a very close goal difference (31:32). But Germany has a history of good performances in knockout matches, which can be a psychological advantage.
Possible game scenarios for AI models.
According to AI models' predictions, the match will end in a draw after the usual 90 minutes. The most likely outcomes are:
- 1:1: Both teams score one goal each in regular time.
- 0:0A goalless draw is also possible as both teams are strong defensively.
It could also be a tight game in extra time, with AI models seeing a slight tendency towards another draw.
Based on the historical performances and current form curves of both teams, the following scenario will occur as assessed by the AI:
- Final result in the penalty shootout:The models see a high probability that Germany will win the penalty shootout by a narrow margin, for example 4:3 or 5:4 after the first 5 penalties.
Fans can look forward to a nerve-racking duel that could certainly go down in the history books. FOCUS Online will be following the game live on the ticker and reporting on all the important events.