Kyle Larson is the leader in the NASCAR Cup Series standings, he didn’t finish the Goodyear 400 a year ago. However, he enters the 2023 Goodyear 400 on Sunday as the 4-1 favorite on Caesars Sportsbook to win at Darlington Raceway. Larson has won twice, finishing second in three of his last six events, and is looking to avenge last year’s failure at the 2023 NASCAR race at Darlington. One of his main competitors, Denny Hamlin (11-2), has won four times at Darlington and won the AdventHealth 400 last weekend.

Martin Truex Jr. (7-1), Tyler Reddick (17-2) and Erik Jones (10-1) are expected to participate in the 2023 Goodyear 400 starting at 3 p.m. ET. Before you review the 2023 Goodyear 400 starting lineup and make any 2023 NASCAR predictions at Darlington, make sure you See the latest 2023 Goodyear 400 picks from SportsLine’s proven NASCAR model.

Developed by SportsLine’s predictive data engineer and daily fantasy pro Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates each race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

McClure’s model is off to a red-hot start this season, already picking up Martin Truex Jr.’s Clash win (20-1), Joey Logano’s Duel win (8-1), Kyle Fontana’s win Busch (10-1) and Kyle Larson win at Martinsville (6-1). In Austin, he called Tyler Reddick one of his best assets as he won by a 10-1 payoff. He also impressively notched five of Larson’s wins during his landmark season in 2021. In all, the model has notched a whopping 11 winners since 2021. Anyone who followed his lead in those NASCAR picks made big wins.

Now, the model simulated the 2023 Goodyear 400 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the full 2023 NASCAR standings projected at Darlington.

Top Goodyear 400 Predictions for 2023

One surprise: The model is high on Chase Elliott, even though he has an unlikely odds of 14-1 in the last NASCAR 2023 at Darlington. It’s a go-to for anyone looking for a big payday. The 27-year-old missed six weeks after suffering an injury in a skiing accident, but has shown glimpses of returning to his form as the 2020 NASCAR Cup Series champion.

Elliott has finished 12th or better in his four races since returning from injury and is coming off seventh in the AdventHealth 400 last week. The 18-time winner has also had recent success at Darlington, finishing fifth and seventh in his last two spring races. But Elliott is still chasing his first win at Darlington. At 14-1 in NASCAR at Darlington, he might have value in a top driver at a price like that to record his first win at the track. See who else to endorse on SportsLine.

And a big surprise: Tyler Reddick, a Las Vegas favorite at 17-2, stumbles big and barely cracks the top five. The 2020 NASCAR Rookie of the Year runner-up earned his first playoff appearance in 2021 and then had a three-win season in 2022.

However, he finished 14th in the standings last year after a disappointing start to the postseason that included a 35th-place finish at Kansas and a 25th-place finish at Bristol. Reddick finishes sixth this weekend, but his average finish has been 16th in his last four starts and he hasn’t led a lap in three of those four races. There are much better values ​​in the starting 2023 Goodyear 400 lineup, depending on the model. See what other drivers to avoid on SportsLine.

How to make NASCAR 2023 in Darlington selections

The model also points to another driver with 2023 Kansas NASCAR odds of more than 10-1 to make a serious run to the checkered flag. Anyone who endorses this driver could be successful. You can view all of the model’s NASCAR selections on SportsLine.

So who wins the 2023 Goodyear 400? And what long shots are essential? Check out the latest NASCAR 2023 odds at Darlington below, then Visit SportsLine now to see the complete Darlington NASCAR leaderboard projected for 2023, all from the model that already posted five winners in 2023..

2023 Goodyear 400 odds, drivers, lineup

See the complete 2023 NASCAR picks at Darlington on SportsLine

Denny Hamlin 11-2
Kyle Larson 11-2
Martin Truex Jr. 7-1
Tyler Reddick 17-2
Kyle Busch 10-1
Christopher Bell 10-1
William Byron 10-1
Ross Chastain 10-1
kevin harvick 12-1
Joey Logano 12-1
Chase Elliott 14-1
Ryan Blaney 20-1
Bubba Wallace 30-1
Brad Keselowski 45-1
Daniel Suarez 50-1
Erik Jones 50-1
Ty Gibbs 60-1
Josh Berry 60-1
Chris Buescher 75-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 100-1
Briscoe Chase 100-1
Austin Dillon 100-1
A.J. Allmendinger 125-1
Ryan Preece 150-1
Arico Almirola 150-1
justin haley 150-1
Austin Cindric150-1
Michael McDowell 200-1
Noah Gragson 200-1
Ryan Newman 500-1
Corey Lajoie 1000-1
Harrison Burton 1000-1
Todd Gilliland1500-1
Ty Dillon 2500-1
Brennan Poole 5000-1
BJ McLeod 5000-1


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